Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb3d…e9d3
crypto · 1468 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,320 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,320 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,320
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses575 / 1272
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1847 / 1468
History coverage84d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1847 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,309
7 days−$1,299
14 days−$1,331
30 days−$1,439
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -1126%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -1144%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -1105%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -1125%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$8 -1116%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -1105%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$7 -1105%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$55
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-28.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 451 -83.2% -84.8% 8% 8% -75.0%
≤30d 918 -44.0% -49.4% 19% 18% -37.0%
≤90d 1847 -21.4% -28.9% 31% 26% -20.2%
all 1847 -21.4% -28.9% 31% 26% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.9% 26% -20.2%
10% ← realistic here -35.7% 26% -27.9%
15% -41.9% 26% -34.8%
20% -47.6% 25% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records