Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:11:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb32…12f0
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -45%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$2
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% −$3
sports 15% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 61¢ $3 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 8h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $2 14h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 25h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $2 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-35.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -28.8% -35.6% 0% 0% -38.3%
≤30d 4 -28.8% -35.6% 0% 0% -38.3%
≤90d 4 -28.8% -35.6% 0% 0% -38.3%
all 4 -28.8% -35.6% 0% 0% -38.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.6% 0% -38.3%
10% -41.8% 0% -44.2%
15% -47.4% 0% -49.6%
20% -52.6% 0% -54.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.98 · official $1.98 (match) · 12 history records