Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T11:48:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CB 0xcb1b…39f2 crypto 128 markets active 4h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (239 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,913 (+17%) realized +$2,913 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate31%40W / 88L
Whale WR75%big bets
Drawdown38%max
Avg bet$133per market
Trades / day239.3pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,434
7 days+$3,346
14 days+$2,727
30 days+$2,727
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,727
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (239 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-34.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -22.9% -30.3% 34% 32% +12.9%
≤30d 128 -27.5% -34.4% 31% 30% +5.2%
≤90d 128 -27.5% -34.4% 31% 30% +5.2%
all 128 -27.5% -34.4% 31% 30% +5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover239.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.4% 30% +5.2%
10% ← realistic here -40.7% 27% -4.9%
15% -46.4% 23% -14.1%
20% -51.7% 21% -22.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +16% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -27% · $-wt +16% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 75% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -42% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
18.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$226 vs −$72 · ×3.15 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.43 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,913
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses40 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)128 / 128
History coverage10d
Avg bet$133
Trades / day239.3
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 128 Trades
no open positions (78 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 25 $64 −$61 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $214 +$222 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $163 −$159 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 25 $536 −$530 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 25 $115 +$54 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 25 $250 +$294 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 25 $171 +$777 +454%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $567 +$469 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 25 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $128 +$171 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $40 −$38 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $63 −$63 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $183 +$25 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 25 $33 −$31 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $503 +$341 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 25 $29 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 25 $77 −$76 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $107 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $22 −$21 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $77 −$72 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 25 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $47 −$45 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $251 −$240 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 25 $13 −$2 -13%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $488 −$488 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 24 $31 −$29 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 24 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $249 +$407 +163%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23? Jun 24 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 24 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 24 $23 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 24 $38 −$37 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 24 $11 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $195 +$209 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $220 +$274 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $84 −$79 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $214 +$165 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 24 $120 −$116 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $208 +$650 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 24 $130 −$129 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $149 −$146 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $34 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $32 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $124 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $57 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $56 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $46 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2547 history records