Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:20:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb19…8b0d
crypto · 1350 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$141 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$86
Realized+$6
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses705 / 642
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions12
Markets (closed)1347 / 1350
History coverage7d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day299.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 12 History 1347 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days+$25
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $25 $34 +$9 (+35%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 20¢ 31¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+55%)
US recession by end of 2026? Yes 36¢ 18¢ $15 $7 −$8 (-51%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 23¢ 20¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-12%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 16¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 55¢ 92¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+66%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-62%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes 15¢ 1¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$8 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +103%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$17
other 1% −$10
sports 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1329 -2.1% -11.5% 53% 52% -9.1%
≤30d 1347 -2.5% -11.8% 52% 51% -9.4%
≤90d 1347 -2.5% -11.8% 52% 51% -9.4%
all 1347 -2.5% -11.8% 52% 51% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover299.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 51% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 51% -18.0%
15% -27.9% 50% -26.0%
20% -35.0% 48% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $85.90 · official $85.54 (match) · 3500 history records