trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -51.1% | -55.8% | 25% | 12% | -56.8% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -51.1% | -55.8% | 25% | 12% | -56.8% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -51.1% | -55.8% | 25% | 12% | -56.8% |
| all | 16 | -51.1% | -55.8% | 25% | 12% | -56.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -55.8% | 12% | -56.8% |
| 10% | -60.0% | 12% | -60.9% |
| 15% | -63.9% | 12% | -64.7% |
| 20% | -67.4% | 12% | -68.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $6 | $7 | +$1 (+10%) |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-15%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 60¢ | 69¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$2 | -31% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $6 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Jun 10 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$2 | -42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Jun 10 | $5 | +$7 | +143% |