Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb17…2955
world · 398 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$34 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$32
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$227
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$32
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses220 / 130
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions49
Markets (closed)350 / 398
History coverage97d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day33.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 49 History 350 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$7
14 days+$24
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Yes 22¢ 100¢ $7 $33 +$26 (+355%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 43¢ 44¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 47¢ 69¢ $11 $16 +$5 (+47%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 33¢ 30¢ $16 $14 −$2 (-11%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 61¢ 85¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+40%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 76¢ 78¢ $13 $14 +$0 (+3%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 55¢ 60¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+10%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Yes 63¢ 81¢ $8 $11 +$2 (+29%)
Kash Patel out by June 30? No 68¢ 92¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+36%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 31¢ 29¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 68¢ 82¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+21%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No 88¢ 90¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? Yes 47¢ 56¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 43¢ 62¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+45%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 58¢ 74¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+29%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+36%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes 4¢ 12¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+224%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No 93¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? No 95¢ 95¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes 34¢ 10¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-69%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 24¢ 18¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-26%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No 90¢ 92¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 37¢ 66¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+80%)
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Monte 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes 25¢ 12¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-53%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 12 $14 −$1 -5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $7 −$6 -79%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 12 $13 $0 -3%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -72%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 +$1 +72%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $7 +$10 +144%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $1 $0 +2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $2 +$1 +25%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $4 +$1 +19%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Jun 08 $2 $0 -5%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Jun 07 $3 −$1 -33%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 07 $4 $0 -7%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Jun 07 $1 $0 -16%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $1 $0 +35%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 06 $4 +$1 +16%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 06 $4 −$1 -28%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $9 +$6 +61%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 04 $6 +$4 +69%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 04 $2 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -81%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June? Jun 03 $6 −$6 -100%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? Jun 02 $15 +$2 +14%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 02 $67 −$5 -8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June? Jun 02 $4 −$4 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 02 $7 +$14 +195%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 01 $24 −$2 -8%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? Jun 01 $2 $0 +10%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $25 +$3 +10%
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? Jun 01 $8 +$3 +31%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 01 $11 +$2 +20%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Jun 01 $2 $0 +12%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? Jun 01 $3 $0 +11%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $34 +$6 +18%
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $1 $0 +22%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $8 +$1 +8%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $8 +$6 +72%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 01 $11 +$5 +47%
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? May 31 $1 $0 +3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 29 $1 $0 +27%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? May 28 $3 +$1 +17%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? May 28 $1 −$1 -52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 66% +$81
other 10% −$8
finance 10% −$15
crypto 6% −$33
sports 4% +$12
politics 3% +$10
weather 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 61¢ $1 9m
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 9m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 2h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 95¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $1 2h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 95¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY G2 75¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 70¢ $1 2h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL No 77¢ $11 2h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL No 77¢ $0 2h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL No 77¢ $0 2h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 3h
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 3h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 93¢ $2 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 67¢ $1 3h
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL No 77¢ $2 3h
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 3h
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 3h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 3h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 95¢ $1 3h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? SELL No 92¢ $4 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 79¢ $0 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? SELL Yes 83¢ $0 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -18.1% -25.9% 38% 25% -16.4%
≤30d 86 -4.3% -13.4% 56% 31% -6.1%
≤90d 324 -6.7% -15.6% 60% 29% -10.1%
all 350 -2.6% -11.9% 63% 31% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 31% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 19% -18.0%
15% -28.0% 14% -25.9%
20% -35.1% 9% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $227.06 · official $226.13 (match) · 3500 history records