Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:38:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb0b…4817
sports · 27 markets active 1h ago
7.5score
+$207 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$204 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$388
Realized+$204
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses12 / 4
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions11
Markets (closed)16 / 27
History coverage2d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 11 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$219
7 days+$204
14 days+$204
30 days+$204
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: France (-1.5) France 40¢ 40¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 56¢ $20 $25 +$5 (+26%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 65¢ 64¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 58¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 40¢ 40¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 50¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+94%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 50¢ 48¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Over 52¢ 26¢ $15 $8 −$7 (-49%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 43¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Over 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 57¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $25 +$25 +99%
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Jun 13 $10 +$22 +213%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $17 +$26 +149%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$23 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $20 +$23 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 +$32 +158%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 +$10 +67%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $20 +$22 +109%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 +$51 +249%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Mexico to score first vs. South Africa? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$183
other 24% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $20 44m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $20 45m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $20 48m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $20 49m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $20 49m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Over 52¢ $15 58m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $50 58m
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? SELL Yes 99¢ $32 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $43 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 39¢ $17 15h
Spread: France (-1.5) BUY France 40¢ $102 16h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $41 16h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $101 16h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 16h
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 16h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $20 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $25 17h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 57¢ $20 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $20 24h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $20 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $25 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $43 26h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $71 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $20 28h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 28h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $15 28h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $5 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 BUY Over 42¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+48.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +64.5% +48.8% 75% 75% +70.6%
≤30d 16 +64.5% +48.8% 75% 75% +70.6%
≤90d 16 +64.5% +48.8% 75% 75% +70.6%
all 16 +64.5% +48.8% 75% 75% +70.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +48.8% 75% +70.6%
10% +34.6% 75% +54.3%
15% +21.6% 69% +39.4%
20% +9.7% 62% +25.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $388.44 · official $387.31 (match) · 39 history records