Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:52:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CB
0xcb05…5473
sports · 20 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$44 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses8 / 12
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)20 / 20
History coverage228d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Gen.G 25¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 13¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Nuggets 51¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 39¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $31 +$14 +46%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $25 −$25 -98%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 25 $50 −$49 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 11 $1 +$1 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 11 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 11 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Apr 11 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Apr 11 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 11 $2 $0 +7%
Pistons vs. Hornets Apr 11 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Apr 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 08 $2 $0 -4%
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? Nov 09 $150 +$81 +54%
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? Nov 09 $50 +$38 +77%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 01 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) Oct 31 $100 +$108 +108%
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) Oct 29 $30 −$28 -92%
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner Oct 29 $30 −$7 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$61
other 36% +$120
crypto 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 57¢ $6 42m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 31¢ $9 57m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 24¢ $10 59m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 36¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 34¢ $10 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 67¢ $19 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 13¢ $10 24h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster $5 27h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster $10 27h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 39¢ $25 8d
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves BUY Nuggets 51¢ $50 49d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $0 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up $1 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $2 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 63d
Pistons vs. Hornets SELL Pistons 36¢ $1 64d
Pistons vs. Hornets BUY Pistons 40¢ $2 65d
Hawks vs. Cavaliers SELL Hawks 47¢ $1 66d
Hawks vs. Cavaliers SELL Hawks 47¢ $0 67d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -51.4% -56.0% 33% 33% -27.3%
≤30d 4 -63.5% -67.0% 25% 25% -49.9%
≤90d 14 -25.7% -32.8% 36% 29% -61.6%
all 20 -17.5% -25.3% 40% 35% +0.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.3% 35% +0.1%
10% -32.5% 35% -9.5%
15% -39.0% 35% -18.2%
20% -45.0% 30% -26.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 52 history records