trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 11 | +0.5% | -9.0% | 91% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $46 | $46 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 09 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | Apr 09 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Apr 09 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana reach $150 in March? | Apr 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March? | Apr 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 19 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February? | Mar 05 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February? | Mar 05 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $40 in February? | Feb 24 | $86 | +$1 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 27 | $17,343 | −$17 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novem | Jan 19 | $9 | $0 | +3% |