Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T09:34:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CA 0xcace…05b0 crypto 1351 markets active 1h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$265 (-3%) realized −$265 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate50%682W / 695L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day111.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days−$279
14 days−$346
30 days−$660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$624
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-23.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 -24.2% -31.4% 39% 37% -30.7%
≤30d 1330 -15.7% -23.7% 50% 34% -18.5%
≤90d 1377 -15.2% -23.2% 50% 34% -18.4%
all 1377 -15.2% -23.2% 50% 34% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover111.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.2% 34% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.6% 21% -26.2%
15% -37.3% 14% -33.3%
20% -43.4% 9% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$265
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses682 / 695
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1377 / 1351
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day111.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1377 Trades
no open positions (341 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $32 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$7 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $94 −$18 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$8 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records