trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 0% | 0% | -14.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 30% | 20% | -3.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 30% | 20% | -3.3% |
| all | 21 | -3.0% | -12.3% | 48% | 10% | -5.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 10% | -5.2% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 10% | -14.3% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 5% | -22.6% |
| 20% | -35.3% | 0% | -30.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | $42 | $42 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 83¢ | 80¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $28 | +$7 | +26% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $2 | $0 | -22% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 23 | $25 | +$9 | +36% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 22 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 22 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 21 | $27 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Dec 14 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 24 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump x Putin talk by Friday? | Apr 20 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 24 | $12 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 19 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 17 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | +0% |