Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:05:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
CA 0xcac0…a0b8 crypto 929 markets active 0h ago coverage 49d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 48d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$956 (-6%) realized −$956 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate87%810W / 117L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day54.5pace
Fees−$27est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$145
14 days−$237
30 days−$330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
weather 54% +$45
crypto 29% −$246
sports 13% −$24
other 3% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -6.6% -15.5% 86% 17% -16.7%
≤30d 724 -4.2% -13.4% 88% 9% -14.3%
≤90d 927 -0.9% -10.4% 87% 10% -11.1%
all 927 -0.9% -10.4% 87% 10% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 10% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 3% -19.6%
15% -26.8% 1% -27.4%
20% -33.9% 1% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$8 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

49d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$956
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses810 / 117
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)927 / 929
History coverage49d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day54.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 927 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records