Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xcabb…0a21
other · 59 markets active 4h ago
0.5score
−$38 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses9 / 50
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)59 / 59
Avg bet$314
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $14 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $14 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $14 $0 -0%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 09 $27 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $12 $0 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 05 $15 $0 -0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $16 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $15 $0 -0%
Will Solana reach $130 in May? Jun 02 $28 $0 +0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $18 $0 -0%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $11 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 24 $16 $0 -0%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi May 23 $11 $0 -0%
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 18 $76 $0 -0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 13 $79 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 12 $79 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? May 11 $163 $0 -0%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? May 08 $81 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $80 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? May 06 $77 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 02 $86 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $79 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 01 $82 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 01 $162 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $78 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 24 $86 $0 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 24 $84 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 23 $85 $0 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? Apr 23 $82 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $83 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 19 $86 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $79 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $170 $0 -0%
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 17 $85 $0 -0%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? Apr 11 $24 $0 -2%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 09 $6 +$5 +72%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $12 +$6 +46%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Apr 07 $4 −$4 -100%
76ers vs. Spurs Apr 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Apr 07 $17 +$2 +10%
Kraken vs. Lightning Apr 06 $19 −$19 -100%
Heat vs. Pacers Apr 06 $28 −$28 -100%
Suns vs. Magic Apr 06 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? Apr 06 $48 $0 +1%
Senators vs. Rangers Mar 27 $26 +$14 +54%
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks Mar 23 $23 +$60 +256%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 74% −$14
politics 15% −$8
other 8% −$12
sports 1% −$5
culture 0% $0
tech 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $14 3h
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $14 5h
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $14 25h
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $14 27h
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $14 44h
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $14 46h
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Boston Red Sox 49¢ $9 3d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 3d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 4d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 4d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $15 7d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $15 7d
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $16 8d
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $16 8d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $15 8d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $15 8d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $15 9d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $15 9d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $18 11d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $18 11d
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $11 12d
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 12d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 12d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 12d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $16 18d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $16 19d
Will Solana reach $130 in May? BUY No 100¢ $28 19d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL No 99¢ $11 19d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $11 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -16.8% -24.7% 0% 0% -18.7%
≤30d 16 -6.4% -15.3% 6% 0% -12.3%
≤90d 50 -7.4% -16.2% 14% 8% -10.1%
all 59 -6.3% -15.3% 15% 7% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 7% -9.7%
10% -23.4% 7% -18.4%
15% -30.8% 7% -26.2%
20% -37.6% 5% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 252 history records