Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:09:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xcaba…48af
crypto · 1642 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$126 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$126 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$126
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1533 / 121
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1654 / 1642
History coverage20d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day85.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 0 History 1654 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$142
7 days−$158
14 days−$231
30 days−$126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -263%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -51%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -17%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$45
other 14% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 7m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $2 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $2 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 50m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $2 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 301 -10.2% -18.8% 74% 9% -25.5%
≤30d 1654 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 5% -10.1%
≤90d 1654 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 5% -10.1%
all 1654 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 5% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 5% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 1% -18.7%
15% -27.1% 0% -26.6%
20% -34.2% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.45 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records