Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:16:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CA 0xcab8…c012 crypto 387 markets active 0h ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (59 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$9 (-2%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate77%298W / 89L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day58.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (59 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 213 -2.0% -11.3% 81% 29% -10.3%
≤30d 387 -5.4% -14.4% 77% 30% -12.9%
≤90d 387 -5.4% -14.4% 77% 30% -12.9%
all 387 -5.4% -14.4% 77% 30% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 30% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 12% -21.2%
15% -30.1% 5% -28.9%
20% -36.9% 2% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
57% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses298 / 89
Open positions0
Markets (closed)387 / 387
History coverage13d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day58.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 387 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1111 history records