Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:00:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xcab1…4d00
crypto · 430 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$481 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$469 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$469
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses180 / 250
Open positions1
Markets (closed)430 / 430
History coverage3d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day349.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 430 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$439
7 days−$469
14 days−$469
30 days−$469
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $24 $25 +$2 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+139%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$50 +446%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$9 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$13 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$10 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$13 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$9 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$7 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$11 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$14 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$16 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$11 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$41 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$6 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$8 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$19 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$483
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $12 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $12 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $12 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $13 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 -9.6% -18.3% 42% 37% -14.1%
≤30d 430 -9.6% -18.3% 42% 37% -14.1%
≤90d 430 -9.6% -18.3% 42% 37% -14.1%
all 430 -9.6% -18.3% 42% 37% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover349.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 37% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 29% -22.3%
15% -33.2% 22% -29.8%
20% -39.8% 18% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.44 · official $52.10 · 3500 history records