trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 15% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 16% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 29 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 27 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 16 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 13 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 08 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 17 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 14 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 07 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | Mar 28 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 23 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 17 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 14 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 12 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 10 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 08 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 06 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 04 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 26 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 24 | $90 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | Feb 22 | $90 | $0 | +0% |