Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:19:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca9b…1c49
crypto · 1502 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,768 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,768 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,768
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses1124 / 460
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1584 / 1502
History coverage12d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day176.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1584 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,336
7 days−$1,598
14 days−$1,768
30 days−$1,768
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$513
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $14 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $14 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 999 -13.0% -21.3% 70% 15% -19.1%
≤30d 1584 -9.1% -17.8% 71% 16% -16.3%
≤90d 1584 -9.1% -17.8% 71% 16% -16.3%
all 1584 -9.1% -17.8% 71% 16% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover176.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 16% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 9% -24.3%
15% -32.8% 7% -31.6%
20% -39.4% 5% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records