trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +93.9% | +75.4% | 100% | 100% | +13.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +79.8% | +62.7% | 100% | 100% | +15.4% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +87.7% | +69.9% | 81% | 67% | +25.9% |
| all | 21 | +87.7% | +69.9% | 81% | 67% | +25.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +69.9% | 67% | +25.9% |
| 10% | +53.6% | 67% | +13.9% |
| 15% | +38.8% | 52% | +2.9% |
| 20% | +25.2% | 48% | -7.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 60¢ | 52¢ | $1,100 | $960 | −$140 (-13%) |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 33¢ | 27¢ | $300 | $245 | −$55 (-18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $18,724 | +$4,283 | +23% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $103 | +$206 | +201% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $588 | +$341 | +58% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 23 | $5,123 | +$1,924 | +38% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 09 | $990 | +$300 | +30% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | Apr 20 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 20 | $2,546 | +$1,641 | +64% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Apr 17 | $221 | +$5 | +2% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Apr 17 | $200 | −$12 | -6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $11 | +$14 | +126% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 16 | $213 | +$73 | +34% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $506 | +$311 | +62% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Apr 15 | $2,266 | +$2,281 | +101% |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to Apr | Apr 13 | $20 | +$11 | +54% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | Apr 13 | $118 | −$47 | -40% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Apr 12 | $338 | +$8 | +2% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Apr 12 | $170 | +$9 | +5% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Apr 11 | $770 | +$188 | +24% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 08 | $200 | +$388 | +194% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Apr 07 | $37 | +$164 | +444% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 05 | $200 | −$138 | -69% |