trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -56.2% | -60.4% | 20% | 20% | -8.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -44.0% | -49.3% | 33% | 33% | -1.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -29.1% | -35.8% | 45% | 45% | +6.3% |
| all | 22 | -37.3% | -43.2% | 45% | 32% | +2.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.2% | 32% | +2.4% |
| 10% | -48.7% | 27% | -7.4% |
| 15% | -53.6% | 14% | -16.4% |
| 20% | -58.2% | 5% | -24.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Germany | 47¢ | 50¢ | $50 | $53 | +$3 (+5%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 24¢ | $15 | $19 | +$4 (+26%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-96%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $112 | −$59 | -53% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$4 | -43% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $1,004 | +$151 | +15% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 22 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $304 | +$158 | +52% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $200 | +$82 | +41% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 15 | $499 | +$173 | +35% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28? | Jan 28 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? | Jan 25 | $1,010 | −$20 | -2% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) | Oct 28 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Oct 27 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Oct 27 | $1,021 | +$24 | +2% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) | Oct 14 | $600 | +$203 | +34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10? | Oct 14 | $548 | +$270 | +49% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET | Sep 24 | $47 | −$47 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3AM ET | Sep 22 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on Septembe | Sep 21 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker? | Sep 21 | $199 | +$10 | +5% |