Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:44:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca77…f088
crypto · 1315 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$645 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$645 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$645
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses652 / 656
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1308 / 1315
History coverage274d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 1308 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$79
7 days+$31
14 days+$199
30 days+$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Spread: Senators (-1.5) Canucks 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group C RUSTEC 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave Tulane Green Wave 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs Nemiga 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$8 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$6 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$14 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$8 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$12 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $15 +$8 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$30 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $26 +$18 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $36 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $23 +$16 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$268
sports 24% −$68
other 5% −$103
world 2% −$96
economics 1% −$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $11 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -3.3% -12.5% 59% 52% -6.7%
≤30d 353 +0.8% -8.8% 54% 52% -8.4%
≤90d 954 -5.6% -14.6% 50% 48% -11.0%
all 1308 -3.9% -13.0% 50% 48% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 48% -12.8%
10% -21.3% 44% -21.1%
15% -28.9% 40% -28.7%
20% -35.9% 33% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3345 history records