Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca75…dcc7
crypto · 139 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
−$7,690 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,690 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,690
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses71 / 403
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)474 / 139
Avg bet$353
Trades / day3364.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 474 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,439
7 days−$7,690
14 days−$7,690
30 days−$7,690
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$593
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $49 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $96 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $57 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $23 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $95 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $15 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $15 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $11 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $7 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $59 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $0 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $11 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $60 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $18 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $15 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-67.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 474 -63.8% -67.2% 15% 9% -22.0%
≤30d 474 -63.8% -67.2% 15% 9% -22.0%
≤90d 474 -63.8% -67.2% 15% 9% -22.0%
all 474 -63.8% -67.2% 15% 9% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3364.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -67.2% 9% -22.0%
10% ← realistic here -70.4% 7% -29.4%
15% -73.2% 5% -36.3%
20% -75.9% 4% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records