Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:42:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
CA 0xca6b…ff01 crypto 232 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (217 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$47 (-1%) realized −$34 · open −$13
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate88%202W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day217.0pace
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$20now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$109
other 11% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (217 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 230 -1.0% -10.5% 88% 0% -10.8%
≤30d 230 -1.0% -10.5% 88% 0% -10.8%
≤90d 230 -1.0% -10.5% 88% 0% -10.8%
all 230 -1.0% -10.5% 88% 0% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover217.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 0% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -19.4%
15% -26.8% 0% -27.2%
20% -34.0% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$6 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.44 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$20
Realized−$34
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses202 / 28
Open positions1
Markets (closed)230 / 232
History coverage1d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day217.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 230 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 99¢ 60¢ $33 $20 −$13 (-39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$1 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$5 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$1 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $32 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 -0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $33 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $65 −$32 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $32 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $32 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $28 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $32 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $32 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $32 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $32 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.80 · official $19.80 (match) · 478 history records