Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca67…89f9
crypto · 381 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$134 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$134 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$100
Realized−$134
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses368 / 12
Open positions1
Markets (closed)380 / 381
History coverage236d
Avg bet$133
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 380 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$11
14 days−$19
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 on June 12? Yes 98¢ 97¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3? Yes 97¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30? No 96¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on June 9? Jun 09 $98 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 7? Jun 07 $100 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 6? Jun 06 $100 +$3 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or below on June 6? Jun 06 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 6? Jun 06 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 5? Jun 05 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $200 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? Jun 05 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 4? Jun 04 $81 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $200 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 4? Jun 04 $100 −$49 -49%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $200 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 3? Jun 03 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 2? Jun 02 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on June 2? Jun 02 $96 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on June 2? Jun 02 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 2? Jun 02 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 29? May 29 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 29? May 29 $100 +$4 +4%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on May 29? May 29 $100 +$1 +1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 28? May 29 $27 +$1 +3%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 27? May 28 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on May 27? May 27 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 27? May 27 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May May 26 $133 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ma May 26 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 26? May 26 $100 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 26? May 26 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 25? May 25 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 25? May 25 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May May 25 $149 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 25? May 25 $100 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on May 24? May 24 $173 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 23? May 24 $170 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 23? May 23 $171 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Ma May 22 $170 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 21? May 21 $200 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20? May 20 $168 +$2 +1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on May 19? May 19 $157 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19? May 19 $124 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19? May 18 $165 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15? May 15 $163 +$1 +1%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 14? May 14 $200 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12? May 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 11? May 11 $121 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May May 11 $98 +$2 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 10? May 11 $102 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on May 8? May 08 $96 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 6? May 07 $50 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5? May 06 $146 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$64
weather 16% −$251
tech 5% +$21
other 3% +$17
finance 0% +$10
economics 0% +$3
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on June 9? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 2d
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on June 9? BUY Yes 98¢ $98 2d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 7? SELL No 100¢ $102 5d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 7? BUY No 98¢ $100 5d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 6? SELL No 100¢ $89 6d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 6? SELL No 100¢ $2 6d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 6? SELL No 100¢ $6 6d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 6? SELL No 100¢ $6 6d
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or below on June 6? SELL No 100¢ $101 6d
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 6? SELL No 100¢ $96 6d
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 6? SELL No 100¢ $6 6d
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 6? SELL No 100¢ $0 6d
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 6? BUY No 98¢ $100 6d
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or below on June 6? BUY No 99¢ $100 6d
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $101 6d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 6? BUY No 97¢ $100 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $203 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5? BUY No 99¢ $200 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $9 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $10 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $10 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $13 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $5 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $8 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $5 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $5 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $30 7d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 5? SELL No 100¢ $6 7d
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 4? SELL No 100¢ $82 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.8%
≤30d 43 +0.3% -9.2% 98% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 164 -0.8% -10.2% 96% 1% -9.8%
all 380 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 1% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 1% -9.8%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.79 · official $99.79 (match) · 970 history records