Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:24:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca4f…9f11
crypto · 160 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$255 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open −$162
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$767
Realized−$21
Unrealized−$162
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses55 / 48
Open positions59
Markets (closed)103 / 160
History coverage8d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day405.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 59 History 103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$135
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? No 45¢ 99¢ $47 $103 +$56 (+120%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Yes 69¢ 92¢ $48 $63 +$16 (+33%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? No 81¢ 72¢ $48 $44 −$5 (-10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? No 79¢ 90¢ $34 $38 +$5 (+14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? No 56¢ 56¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? No 73¢ 84¢ $26 $30 +$4 (+15%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? No 54¢ 51¢ $30 $29 −$2 (-6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? No 53¢ 54¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? No 71¢ 80¢ $21 $24 +$3 (+13%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? No 20¢ 18¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? No 48¢ 53¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 18¢ 22¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+23%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 74¢ 100¢ $12 $16 +$4 (+34%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? Yes 78¢ 72¢ $16 $14 −$1 (-8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? No 87¢ 94¢ $13 $14 +$1 (+9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16? No 81¢ 92¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 19? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16? No 80¢ 88¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? No 78¢ 80¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 16? No 80¢ 98¢ $9 $12 +$2 (+23%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $11 $12 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 20? Yes 73¢ 73¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? No 54¢ 60¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? Yes 84¢ 95¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $95 −$12 -13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $60 +$13 +22%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $35 −$7 -21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $44 −$24 -54%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $14 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $102 −$23 -23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $78 −$7 -9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $118 −$13 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $53 +$4 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? Jun 14 $14 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 9? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 14 $8 +$2 +19%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Jun 14 $35 +$5 +15%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $33 +$12 +37%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $17 +$3 +18%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $99 +$5 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $106 −$7 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $65 −$8 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $112 +$71 +63%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $117 −$31 -27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $41 −$11 -26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $117 −$23 -20%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $11 +$4 +36%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $26 −$11 -43%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $40 +$10 +26%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $39 +$4 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $27 +$3 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $37 +$13 +34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $47 −$1 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $120 −$19 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $97 +$10 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $168 −$18 -11%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $19 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $31 +$13 +43%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $66 +$16 +25%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $62 +$5 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$152
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 0m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 17¢ $1 1m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 17¢ $1 1m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 17¢ $1 1m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 17¢ $1 1m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 49¢ $2 14m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 19¢ $1 18m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 19¢ $1 18m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 19¢ $1 18m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 18¢ $1 18m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY No 19¢ $1 18m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? BUY No 78¢ $4 24m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? BUY No 78¢ $4 24m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? BUY No 51¢ $3 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 42m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 21? BUY No 71¢ $4 47m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 57m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? BUY No 16¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? BUY Yes 81¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? BUY Yes 82¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21? BUY Yes 82¢ $4 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 33¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? BUY No 78¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 79¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 78¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -9.7% -18.3% 53% 25% -9.8%
≤30d 103 -9.7% -18.3% 53% 25% -9.8%
≤90d 103 -9.7% -18.3% 53% 25% -9.8%
all 103 -9.7% -18.3% 53% 25% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover405.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 25% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 17% -18.5%
15% -33.3% 11% -26.3%
20% -39.8% 7% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $766.63 · official $761.18 (match) · 3500 history records