Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:44:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca46…43e5
crypto · 313 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$138 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$138 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$138
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses147 / 166
Open positions0
Markets (closed)313 / 313
History coverage4d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day300.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$138
14 days−$138
30 days−$138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$6 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$7 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$124
other 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 +1.5% -8.2% 47% 38% -14.0%
≤30d 313 +1.5% -8.2% 47% 38% -14.0%
≤90d 313 +1.5% -8.2% 47% 38% -14.0%
all 313 +1.5% -8.2% 47% 38% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover300.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 38% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 18% -22.2%
15% -25.0% 8% -29.8%
20% -32.4% 7% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1196 history records