Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:34:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca43…b369
crypto · 605 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,660 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,647 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,099
Realized−$3,647
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses434 / 165
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$408
Open positions6
Markets (closed)599 / 605
History coverage148d
Avg bet$323
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 6 History 599 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,045
7 days−$4,764
14 days−$511
30 days−$1,195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 59¢ 63¢ $417 $441 +$25 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Up 96¢ 96¢ $288 $289 +$1 (+0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $163 $161 −$1 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 75¢ 76¢ $150 $151 +$1 (+1%)
GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 4.5 Under 77¢ 40¢ $77 $40 −$38 (-49%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Canada leading at halftime? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 71¢ 0¢ $929 $0 −$929 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $159 −$156 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $302 +$23 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $201 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $151 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$81 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$43 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $86 +$14 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $82 +$28 +34%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $360 +$140 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $227 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $150 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $251 +$8 +3%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $326 +$74 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $438 −$18 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $231 +$23 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$68 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $346 +$43 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $281 −$79 -28%
Paraguay to score first vs. United States? Jun 13 $69 +$39 +56%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $48 +$52 +109%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $140 +$60 +43%
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Jun 13 $115 +$84 +73%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $150 +$50 +33%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $184 +$32 +17%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $244 +$154 +63%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $936 −$929 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $151 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $80 +$20 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $273 +$63 +23%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $764 +$36 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $254 +$146 +57%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $533 +$167 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $132 +$55 +41%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $148 −$148 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$2,276
sports 28% −$1,689
other 3% +$295
world 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 96¢ $238 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $159 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 4h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $36 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 -7.8% -16.6% 68% 37% -32.1%
≤30d 454 +2.8% -7.0% 75% 47% -10.7%
≤90d 505 +0.3% -9.3% 72% 46% -11.6%
all 599 -0.7% -10.2% 72% 42% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 42% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 28% -19.7%
15% -26.6% 18% -27.5%
20% -33.8% 15% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,098.88 · official $1,098.88 (match) · 3500 history records