Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:00:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CA 0xca35…1df8 crypto 200 markets active 4d ago coverage 6d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$41 (-8%) realized −$41 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate40%79W / 121L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day33.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -27.0% -33.9% 30% 30% -31.7%
≤30d 200 -14.2% -22.3% 40% 40% -18.1%
≤90d 200 -14.2% -22.3% 40% 40% -18.1%
all 200 -14.2% -22.3% 40% 40% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 40% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 40% -26.0%
15% -36.6% 40% -33.1%
20% -42.8% 40% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -29% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.27 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses79 / 121
Open positions0
Markets (closed)200 / 200
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day33.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 200 Trades
no open positions (121 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +190%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +266%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +190%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +228%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 279 history records