Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CA
0xca24…23c5
sports · 78 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$6 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$4
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses39 / 34
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)73 / 78
History coverage11d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 5 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$14
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? No 58¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Over 50¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Katarzyna Kawa 60¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-34%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 55¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Andrea Lazaro Garcia 55¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Anastasia Potapova 64¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Federico Cina 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 52¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? No 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 39¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 54¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Liquid 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Under 29¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets No 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Anubis Gaming 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Misa Esports 70¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Partizan Sangal 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? No 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Otto Virtanen 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage FULL SENSE 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $1 +$2 +197%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$1 +109%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals v Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $2 +$1 +62%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
ITF Wichita: Duncan Chan vs Jie Cui Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $1 +$1 +140%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $3 +$1 +48%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $2 +$2 +79%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +146%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +105%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) Jun 10 $1 +$1 +101%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $1 +$1 +90%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $1 $0 -2%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $2 +$1 +48%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $1 +$1 +97%
Modena: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Julia Grabher Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $1 +$1 +129%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $1 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1 +$1 +44%
Ilkley: Linda Klimovicova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 08 $1 +$1 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$6
other 12% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 52¢ $1 2m
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 58¢ $1 7m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $1 29m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 60¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $1 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $1 4h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 54¢ $1 4h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 46¢ $1 4h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 54¢ $1 19h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 60¢ $1 19h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 57¢ $1 24h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 60¢ $1 26h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $1 26h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $1 27h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $1 28h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 47¢ $1 33h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $1 33h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 51¢ $1 34h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 33¢ $1 41h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $1 46h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 49¢ $1 2d
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals v BUY No 52¢ $1 2d
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FURIA 47¢ $1 2d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas BUY David Jorda Sanchis 61¢ $1 2d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas BUY David Jorda Sanchis 61¢ $1 2d
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Anastasia Potapova 64¢ $2 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 60¢ $1 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 49¢ $1 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 48¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +19.4% +8.1% 60% 56% +5.8%
≤30d 73 +11.8% +1.2% 53% 51% -3.2%
≤90d 73 +11.8% +1.2% 53% 51% -3.2%
all 73 +11.8% +1.2% 53% 51% -3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.2% 51% -3.2%
10% -8.5% 51% -12.5%
15% -17.4% 51% -20.9%
20% -25.5% 45% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.88 · official $3.88 (match) · 135 history records