Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:38:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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CA 0xca23…c5e3 crypto 1477 markets active 7h ago coverage 48d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 48d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,074 (-23%) realized −$1,074 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate29%421W / 1056L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day48.7pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$170
14 days−$125
30 days−$687
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$183
sports 2% −$11
other 1% −$15
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 455 -24.7% -31.9% 11% 11% -41.2%
≤30d 1148 -8.0% -16.8% 18% 17% -37.2%
≤90d 1477 +5.1% -4.9% 29% 27% -13.5%
all 1477 +5.1% -4.9% 29% 27% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover48.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 27% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 26% -21.8%
15% -22.3% 26% -29.4%
20% -29.9% 25% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$2 · ×2.31 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,074
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses421 / 1056
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1477 / 1477
History coverage48d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day48.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1477 Trades
no open positions (324 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 +$5 +1567%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $0 +$5 +1567%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 +$3 +1567%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records