trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -1.6% | -10.9% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -1.6% | -10.9% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -1.6% | -10.9% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 44% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 15 | $91 | +$1 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $9 | −$1 | -9% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $29 | −$1 | -2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Meta buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Apr 23 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter? | Apr 23 | $9 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi | Apr 21 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 20 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Scott Bessent be out as Secretary of the Treasury in Trump's firs | Apr 20 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 19 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend? | Mar 24 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Israeli military action against Iran by Friday? | Mar 23 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 19 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday? | Mar 16 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | +0% |