Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc9fa…b211
other · 52 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$81 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$64
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses7 / 35
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions10
Markets (closed)42 / 52
History coverage80d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 10 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $29 $27 −$2 (-6%)
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes 12¢ 6¢ $15 $8 −$6 (-44%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-46%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 30¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-78%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes 13¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-58%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 16¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-41%)
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-89%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria Manel Lazaro Juncadella 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will AFC Unirea Slobozia win on 2026-05-11? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Pedro Martinez 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-10? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Ecuador vs. Guatemala end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Carlos Sanchez Jover 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $12 $0 -3%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $10 +$11 +111%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $2 +$10 +474%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 09 $19 −$19 -98%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $12 +$37 +321%
Will Ecuador vs. Guatemala end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $10 +$21 +202%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? May 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi May 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will AFC Unirea Slobozia win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the A May 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election? May 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election? May 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fok May 10 $7 −$7 -98%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 07 $2 −$2 -98%
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 May 07 $5 +$4 +71%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? Mar 30 $7 −$7 -99%
Rockets vs. Pelicans Mar 30 $8 +$4 +47%
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait o Mar 29 $8 −$8 -100%
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait o Mar 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait o Mar 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on March 26? Mar 29 $2 +$3 +150%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 26? Mar 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on March 26? Mar 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 26? Mar 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Busta Mar 29 $15 −$3 -19%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March? Mar 26 $10 −$6 -59%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Mar 25 $13 $0 -3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? Mar 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% −$26
sports 30% −$29
politics 4% −$12
world 3% −$10
weather 1% $0
finance 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $12 53m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $12 53m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $17 53m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 54m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $10 55m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 55m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $10 55m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $15 10h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 55¢ $5 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 2d
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Ajla Tomljanovic 33¢ $5 2d
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria BUY Manel Lazaro Juncadella 11¢ $3 2d
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover BUY Carlos Sanchez Jover 3¢ $5 2d
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 32¢ $5 2d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 34¢ $5 2d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Martin Landaluce 66¢ $11 2d
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 2d
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria BUY Manel Lazaro Juncadella 11¢ $3 2d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Martin Landaluce 30¢ $5 2d
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Pedro Martinez 14¢ $3 2d
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 3d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 45¢ $19 3d
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics BUY Marton Fucsovics 17¢ $2 4d
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan BUY Taylah Preston 26¢ $3 4d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? SELL Yes 100¢ $49 4d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 4d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 4d
Will Ecuador vs. Guatemala end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 6d
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 6d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-47.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +13.6% +2.8% 27% 27% +13.4%
≤30d 15 +13.6% +2.8% 27% 27% +13.4%
≤90d 42 -41.6% -47.2% 17% 17% -33.2%
all 42 -41.6% -47.2% 17% 17% -33.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -47.2% 17% -33.2%
10% -52.3% 17% -39.5%
15% -56.9% 17% -45.4%
20% -61.1% 14% -50.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.09 · official $50.09 (match) · 90 history records