Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T19:45:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
C9 0xc9f6…0726 crypto 337 markets active 1h ago coverage 88d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$216 (+0%) realized +$216 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%334W / 3L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$473per market
Trades / day6.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days−$811
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +2.0% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.8%
≤30d 37 -4.2% -13.3% 95% 0% -13.9%
≤90d 337 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.5%
all 337 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$489 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

88d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$216
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses334 / 3
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)337 / 337
History coverage88d
Avg bet$473
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 337 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 29 $98 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 29 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 29 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 29 $98 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $500 −$467 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $499 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $445 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 02 $300 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 02 $500 −$500 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 02 $500 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET May 30 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 29 $472 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 29 $500 +$5 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $89 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $33 17d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $369 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $60 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $499 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $64 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $233 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 946 history records