Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:55:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc9f6…8741 crypto 19 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$8 (+0%) realized +$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate84%16W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$303per market
Trades / day57.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -2.1% -11.4% 84% 26% -10.4%
≤30d 19 -2.1% -11.4% 84% 26% -10.4%
≤90d 19 -2.1% -11.4% 84% 26% -10.4%
all 19 -2.1% -11.4% 84% 26% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 26% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 11% -19.0%
15% -27.6% 5% -26.8%
20% -34.7% 5% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 45% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +11% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$91 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses16 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)19 / 19
History coverage1d
Avg bet$303
Trades / day57.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 19 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $602 +$36 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $1,082 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$14 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$21 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $2,708 +$36 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $124 −$73 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $62 +$60 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $101 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $177 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $496 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $422 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $104 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $41 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $105 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $101 57m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 58m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $101 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $101 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 75 history records