Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc9ef…f84a
crypto · 1146 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$45 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$46
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses912 / 227
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1139 / 1146
History coverage19d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day63.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 7 History 1139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$32
14 days−$25
30 days−$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+15%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 5PM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 54¢ 80¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Up 80¢ 88¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Up 78¢ 91¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Up 77¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Up 79¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Up 88¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Up 89¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +55%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 5AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$28
other 13% −$18
world 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 4PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 -8.8% -17.5% 75% 54% -16.2%
≤30d 1139 -2.6% -11.9% 80% 60% -12.0%
≤90d 1139 -2.6% -11.9% 80% 60% -12.0%
all 1139 -2.6% -11.9% 80% 60% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 60% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 27% -20.4%
15% -28.0% 13% -28.1%
20% -35.1% 4% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.14 · official $12.65 (match) · 2092 history records