Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc9ea…59a1
sports · 181 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$467 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,008 · open −$540
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$997
Realized+$1,008
Unrealized−$540
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses74 / 102
Est. fees paid−$552
Open positions5
Markets (closed)176 / 181
History coverage60d
Avg bet$194
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,377
7 days+$2,575
14 days+$1,209
30 days+$1,215
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Under 59¢ 100¢ $290 $491 +$201 (+69%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 57¢ 81¢ $250 $357 +$107 (+43%)
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $100 $129 +$29 (+29%)
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $100 $19 −$81 (-81%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 0¢ $797 $1 −$796 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 54¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 51¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Sinners 34¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 54¢ 0¢ $550 $0 −$550 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) TheMongolz 48¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) GamerLegion 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner Fisher College 10¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 1 Winner magic 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Gentle Mates 26¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner GamerLegion 22¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Vitality 50¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Lynn Vision 33¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) FUT Esports 25¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A TYLOO 47¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 51¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 Winner K27 22¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) FUT Esports 45¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BetBoom Team 41¢ 0¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage The Huns Esports 7¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $459 +$905 +197%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $407 +$569 +140%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $540 +$862 +160%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $498 −$491 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $142 +$104 +73%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $253 +$157 +62%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $222 +$8 +4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $284 +$318 +112%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $495 +$1,043 +211%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $204 −$151 -74%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $305 −$300 -98%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 10 $387 −$380 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $265 −$265 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $254 −$250 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 10 $234 −$230 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $304 +$251 +83%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $512 −$225 -44%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $141 +$159 +113%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $558 −$550 -99%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 09 $174 +$461 +264%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $192 +$208 +108%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $152 +$136 +90%
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 08 $176 +$186 +106%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $94 +$84 +89%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $122 +$178 +146%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $142 −$140 -98%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 08 $205 −$205 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $447 +$239 +53%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 07 $253 +$132 +52%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $122 −$120 -99%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) Jun 07 $173 +$174 +101%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 07 $300 −$300 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $213 +$137 +65%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $203 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $121 +$72 +60%
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) Jun 05 $11 +$20 +186%
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) Jun 05 $112 −$110 -98%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) Jun 05 $122 −$120 -98%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) Jun 04 $153 +$241 +158%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $122 −$120 -98%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 03 $115 −$115 -100%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5) Jun 03 $93 −$93 -100%
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) Jun 03 $102 −$102 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 03 $1,600 −$311 -19%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $142 +$138 +97%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 03 $1,200 −$514 -43%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $121 +$82 +67%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $142 −$140 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 02 $152 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $122 +$85 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$1,157
world 8% −$825
other 2% +$138
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $253 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 28¢ $236 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 35¢ $306 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $42 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 30¢ $204 6h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $301 10h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 59¢ $294 10h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $506 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $459 10h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $407 10h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $335 10h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $456 10h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $142 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $253 24h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) SELL Spirit 39¢ $230 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $53 30h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 26¢ $204 30h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $231 33h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 47¢ $305 33h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 36¢ $163 44h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $43 46h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $5 47h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $3 47h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $95 47h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $5 47h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $3 47h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $106 47h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $3 47h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 53¢ $3 47h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) BUY Spirit 37¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +26.1% +14.1% 60% 57% +15.7%
≤30d 97 +6.8% -3.4% 47% 46% -4.1%
≤90d 176 -2.0% -11.3% 42% 41% -6.7%
all 176 -2.0% -11.3% 42% 41% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 41% -6.7%
10% -19.8% 41% -15.7%
15% -27.6% 41% -23.8%
20% -34.7% 40% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $996.63 · official $996.67 (match) · 394 history records