Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:43:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc9e3…93f2
sports · 204 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$29,184 -63%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,346 · open −$3,685
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95,347
Realized−$5,346
Unrealized−$3,685
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses84 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$387
Open positions75
Markets (closed)138 / 204
History coverage23d
Avg bet$227
Trades / day137.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 75 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$225
7 days−$184
14 days−$6,475
30 days−$5,346
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 95¢ $27,665 $27,183 −$482 (-2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 90¢ $22,652 $23,514 +$862 (+4%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 83¢ $16,743 $16,499 −$244 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 84¢ $15,622 $14,785 −$837 (-5%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 92¢ 92¢ $3,065 $3,087 +$21 (+1%)
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 60¢ 65¢ $2,543 $2,746 +$203 (+8%)
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No 78¢ 68¢ $2,641 $2,328 −$313 (-12%)
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? No 89¢ 90¢ $926 $936 +$10 (+1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $653 $627 −$26 (-4%)
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? No 93¢ 81¢ $658 $573 −$85 (-13%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 59¢ 100¢ $270 $457 +$186 (+69%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $334 $340 +$5 (+2%)
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 47¢ 44¢ $306 $288 −$17 (-6%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $253 $251 −$2 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $177 $172 −$5 (-3%)
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 21¢ 24¢ $130 $147 +$18 (+14%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $132 $133 +$1 (+1%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $91 $90 −$1 (-1%)
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 9¢ 12¢ $62 $85 +$23 (+37%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 66¢ 62¢ $78 $73 −$4 (-6%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 25¢ 18¢ $90 $67 −$23 (-26%)
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $62 $61 −$1 (-1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? No 52¢ 52¢ $57 $57 −$0 (-0%)
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 9¢ 5¢ $87 $52 −$34 (-40%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meetin Jun 13 $0 +$10 +10597%
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025? Jun 13 $0 −$3 -2902%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $340 −$22 -6%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $43 −$24 -56%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $29 +$31 +108%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$3 +34%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $70 +$62 +89%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $423 +$44 +10%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $145 −$113 -78%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $733 −$28 -4%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $146 −$53 -36%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $552 −$74 -14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $37 +$12 +34%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $69 −$5 -7%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 12 $151 +$17 +11%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $987 +$97 +10%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $189 +$1 +1%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $312 +$25 +8%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $221 −$169 -76%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $158 +$19 +12%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $45 +$5 +11%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $32 −$11 -34%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $104 +$37 +35%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $7 +$3 +44%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $5 +$3 +65%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $20 −$2 -11%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $65 +$5 +8%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 06 $42 +$9 +20%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 06 $39 +$3 +9%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $226 −$102 -45%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $4 −$4 -96%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $276 −$88 -32%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $24 $0 -2%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $160 −$4 -3%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 02 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $6 +$4 +62%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Jun 01 $1 $0 -3%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 01 $19 +$8 +39%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 01 $5 $0 +8%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $15 −$2 -15%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 01 $11 +$1 +10%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 01 $8 +$4 +55%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 01 $15 +$1 +7%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $15 −$7 -44%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Jun 01 $27 −$21 -78%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $20 +$2 +10%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $18 −$12 -64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 77% −$2,923
sports 22% −$6,043
economics 1% −$72
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 48m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 48m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $14 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 64¢ $78 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $81 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $80 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $6 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 62¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $48 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $30 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $20 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $49 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 26¢ $9 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $52 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $22 3h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $12 3h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $32 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $38 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $1 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $20 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 43¢ $5 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $34 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +56.2% +41.3% 57% 37% -13.3%
≤30d 138 +18.3% +7.0% 61% 38% -24.3%
≤90d 138 +18.3% +7.0% 61% 38% -24.3%
all 138 +18.3% +7.0% 61% 38% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover137.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.0% 38% -24.3%
10% ← realistic here -3.2% 28% -31.5%
15% -12.6% 20% -38.1%
20% -21.2% 14% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95,346.85 · official $95,346.63 (match) · 3500 history records