Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:58:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc9dc…631e
crypto · 145 markets active 2d ago
1.0score
+$7,699 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,699 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,699
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses94 / 51
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)145 / 145
Avg bet$2,539
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$519
14 days+$7,263
30 days+$7,263
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? No 0¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 6? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 7? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 7? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 6? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? No 0¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $128 −$126 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $102 +$78 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $53 −$51 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $53 +$29 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 09 $105 +$59 +56%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 08 $21 +$11 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 07 $19 −$19 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 07 $158 −$153 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 06 $22 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 06 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 06 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 06 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 06 $61 +$26 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 06 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 06 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 06 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 06 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 06 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 06 $14 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 06 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 06 $58 −$58 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August? Jun 06 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 06 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 06 $46 −$46 -100%
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August? Jun 06 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2? Jun 06 $7 +$2 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1? Jun 06 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? Jun 06 $27 −$24 -88%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 06 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $31 −$29 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $22 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 06 $18 −$7 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 06 $15 +$61 +409%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $173 +$154 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 06 $52 +$37 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 06 $53 +$29 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$7,875
other 20% +$435
economics 0% −$32
politics 0% −$158
world 0% −$360
sports 0% −$60
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $32 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $48 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $95 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $26 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $102 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $21 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $53 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $31 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $28 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $164 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $105 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -42.9% -48.3% 26% 25% -35.0%
≤30d 61 -25.6% -32.7% 36% 33% -0.7%
≤90d 75 -17.1% -25.0% 40% 37% -1.6%
all 145 -8.0% -16.8% 65% 20% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 20% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 19% -16.5%
15% -32.0% 17% -24.5%
20% -38.7% 14% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2084 history records