Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T06:52:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc9d9…43a1 sports 63 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$15 (-1%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate79%50W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day87.4pace
Fees−$19est.
Kalshi-fit59%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 50% −$37
other 48% +$30
crypto 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -4.4% -13.5% 79% 5% -9.5%
≤30d 63 -4.4% -13.5% 79% 5% -9.5%
≤90d 63 -4.4% -13.5% 79% 5% -9.5%
all 63 -4.4% -13.5% 79% 5% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 5% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 3% -18.2%
15% -29.3% 0% -26.1%
20% -36.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$6 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses50 / 13
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage5d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day87.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 63 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $196 −$13 -6%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $95 +$4 +4%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 23 $20 $0 +1%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $190 +$16 +8%
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 Jun 22 $25 $0 -0%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $140 +$2 +2%
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 22 $50 $0 +1%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $60 +$9 +16%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $65 −$12 -18%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 22 $63 −$1 -2%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 Jun 22 $173 −$7 -4%
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 21 $13 +$1 +6%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Jun 21 $74 −$24 -32%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 21 $85 +$1 +1%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 21 $155 $0 +0%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $10 $0 +2%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $20 $0 +2%
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Jun 21 $5 $0 +2%
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 21 $116 $0 +0%
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 21 $55 +$1 +2%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $30 +$1 +2%
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 21 $25 $0 +1%
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 21 $60 $0 +1%
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 21 $20 +$1 +3%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Jun 21 $25 +$1 +3%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $25 +$9 +35%
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? Jun 20 $20 $0 +0%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $25 $0 +1%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $115 +$1 +1%
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 20 $17 −$2 -9%
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 20 $15 $0 +2%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $75 +$3 +4%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $40 +$1 +2%
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $40 $0 +1%
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $55 +$1 +1%
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $36 −$6 -16%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 19 $20 +$2 +10%
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 19 $10 −$3 -29%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 19 $21 +$5 +24%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5 Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5 Jun 18 $35 +$1 +2%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5 Jun 18 $40 +$1 +1%
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $61 −$1 -1%
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $10 $0 +2%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 94¢ $25 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 93¢ $25 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 93¢ $51 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 92¢ $50 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 84¢ $8 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 84¢ $40 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 87¢ $25 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 88¢ $25 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 90¢ $10 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 90¢ $1 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 90¢ $2 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 90¢ $7 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 89¢ $10 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 89¢ $10 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 40¢ $40 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 40¢ $10 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 40¢ $3 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 40¢ $1 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 38¢ $25 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 36¢ $26 2h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 18¢ $5 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 52¢ $25 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 51¢ $25 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 43¢ $22 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 41¢ $21 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 39¢ $0 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 2h
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 40¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 482 history records