Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:46:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C9 0xc9c5…508d crypto 129 markets active 3h ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,875 (-7%) realized −$1,875 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate79%102W / 27L
Whale WR92%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$198per market
Trades / day3.5pace
Fees−$8est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$78
7 days−$88
14 days−$1,920
30 days−$2,101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$1,867
world 6% +$213
sports 5% −$227
other 0% −$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -16.7% -24.6% 74% 16% -15.7%
≤30d 128 -10.4% -19.0% 79% 23% -17.1%
≤90d 129 -10.3% -18.8% 79% 24% -16.2%
all 129 -10.3% -18.8% 79% 24% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.8% 24% -16.2%
10% -26.6% 9% -24.3%
15% -33.7% 2% -31.6%
20% -40.2% 2% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 92% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -10% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$130 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.44 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,875
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses102 / 27
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)129 / 129
History coverage56d
Avg bet$198
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 129 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $201 +$20 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$35 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$43 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $167 +$15 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 08 $110 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 07 $101 +$21 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $201 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 07 $202 −$200 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 07 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 07 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 07 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 07 $202 +$24 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 07 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 07 $402 +$43 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 07 $203 +$42 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 07 $211 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 07 $102 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 07 $201 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 07 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 07 $101 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 06 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 06 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 06 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 06 $101 +$19 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 06 $32 −$31 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 06 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 06 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 06 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 06 $200 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 06 $200 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $16 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $14 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $35 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $44 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $19 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $66 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $19 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $101 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $110 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $101 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $101 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $101 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $102 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $105 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 304 history records