trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -46.2% | -51.3% | 29% | 29% | -21.3% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -25.2% | -32.4% | 39% | 39% | -22.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -25.2% | -32.4% | 39% | 39% | -22.8% |
| all | 18 | -25.2% | -32.4% | 39% | 39% | -22.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.4% | 39% | -22.8% |
| 10% | -38.8% | 33% | -30.2% |
| 15% | -44.7% | 22% | -36.9% |
| 20% | -50.2% | 17% | -43.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $37 | $36 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Pla | Jun 21 | $20 | −$17 | -85% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $35 | +$16 | +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Jun 20 | $5 | −$2 | -41% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $56 | +$32 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Jun 18 | $26 | −$3 | -11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Jun 18 | $36 | +$25 | +69% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 18 | $25 | $0 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Jun 18 | $37 | −$32 | -86% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Jun 18 | $26 | −$8 | -33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | Jun 18 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |