Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:48:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc9b6…f373
sports · 52 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$17 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$18
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses33 / 13
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)46 / 52
History coverage9d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 6 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$17
14 days+$18
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 37¢ 38¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Under 49¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 40¢ 40¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 40¢ 40¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 43¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D GenOne 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Karmine Corp 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs ENRAGE (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs ENRAGE 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9? No 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $4 +$3 +82%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $4 +$4 +105%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 +$7 +325%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +21%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 08 $5 $0 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1 +$1 +72%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $2 $0 +22%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $3 +$2 +54%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 $0 +10%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $7 −$3 -42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +42%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $3 +$1 +36%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 07 $3 $0 -1%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $1 $0 +8%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $2 −$1 -96%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 06 $1 −$1 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $6 +$1 +23%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 06 $2 $0 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $4 +$2 +58%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $2 $0 +18%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $5 +$2 +52%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 06 $8 −$7 -84%
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizu Jun 06 $4 +$3 +70%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 05 $2 $0 +21%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $1 $0 +24%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 05 $5 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualif Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $2 +$1 +54%
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Jun 05 $3 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs ENRAGE (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playof Jun 05 $4 −$4 -99%
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Jun 05 $4 +$2 +47%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $4 $0 +9%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 05 $2 $0 +14%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $4 +$1 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% +$10
crypto 32% +$7
world 4% $0
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 40¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 37¢ $5 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 100¢ $7 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 49¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 100¢ $8 2h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 54¢ $4 2h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY St. Louis Cardinals 40¢ $3 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 51¢ $4 10h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 48¢ $4 10h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 2¢ $0 15h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $1 16h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $1 16h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 21h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 43¢ $2 22h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $3 23h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ $3 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $6 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 64¢ $4 41h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 59¢ $2 41h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $8 42h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 64¢ $1 42h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? SELL No 76¢ $2 42h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY No 75¢ $2 45h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 82¢ $2 45h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 81¢ $6 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? BUY Yes 85¢ $5 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9? BUY No 80¢ $1 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 64¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +10.0% -0.5% 67% 53% +11.4%
≤30d 46 +9.5% -0.9% 72% 59% +3.6%
≤90d 46 +9.5% -0.9% 72% 59% +3.6%
all 46 +9.5% -0.9% 72% 59% +3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.9% 59% +3.6%
10% -10.4% 41% -6.3%
15% -19.1% 35% -15.3%
20% -27.0% 26% -23.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.09 · official $17.09 (match) · 111 history records