Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:06:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc9a6…cbda
sports · 258 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$216 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$216 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Net worth$10
Realized−$216
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses104 / 153
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions1
Markets (closed)257 / 258
History coverage118d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$11
14 days−$51
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 95¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $18 −$17 -98%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 13 $1 $0 -14%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 12 $18 −$2 -10%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $18 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -42%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $17 +$3 +18%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 +$3 +53%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $7 +$7 +109%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? Jun 10 $4 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 $0 -4%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 8? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $3 $0 +14%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $3 −$1 -37%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Hong Kong, China Jun 05 $3 −$3 -81%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $137 −$38 -28%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 03 $9 −$1 -10%
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 01 $4 $0 -6%
Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 01 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 31 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 31 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 31 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 31 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 31 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 31 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 31 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 31 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 31 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 31 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 31 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 31 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 31 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 31 $1 +$2 +207%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $14 +$9 +68%
Will the match end in a draw? May 28 $38 +$9 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 27? May 28 $36 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 27? May 27 $3 −$3 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 27? May 27 $25 +$1 +3%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? May 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 12? May 12 $34 +$4 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 39% +$67
other 28% −$27
weather 14% +$32
crypto 12% −$17
world 7% −$265
politics 1% −$4
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 73¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 74¢ $10 3h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 98¢ $10 3h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 82¢ $8 6h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 6h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates $2 10h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL United Arab Emirates $0 10h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates SELL United Arab Emirates $0 10h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 29¢ $5 11h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY United Arab Emirates 51¢ $10 12h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 83¢ $5 14h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 83¢ $5 14h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? SELL Yes $1 15h
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? BUY Yes $1 27h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet SELL Yes 99¢ $15 29h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 99¢ $15 30h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 30h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 30h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 30h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 30h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL Yes $5 30h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY Yes $5 30h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 19¢ $16 30h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 21¢ $18 30h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $18 31h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $18 31h
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes $2 31h
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes $3 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -5.9% -14.9% 25% 25% -15.8%
≤30d 48 -7.2% -16.0% 40% 31% -17.8%
≤90d 201 -6.3% -15.2% 36% 29% -10.9%
all 257 +1.4% -8.3% 40% 30% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 30% -11.8%
10% -17.0% 22% -20.2%
15% -25.1% 16% -27.9%
20% -32.4% 15% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.52 · official $9.52 (match) · 994 history records