Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc97c…fa53
crypto · 1785 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$641 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$641 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$641
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses925 / 643
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1568 / 1785
History coverage20d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day92.1
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1568 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$130
7 days+$666
14 days+$644
30 days+$641
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 44¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 49¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 47¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 47¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 46¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 49¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 49¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 51¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$641
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1346 +14.2% +3.3% 60% 60% +4.9%
≤30d 1568 +11.9% +1.2% 59% 59% +2.4%
≤90d 1568 +11.9% +1.2% 59% 59% +2.4%
all 1568 +11.9% +1.2% 59% 59% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.2% 59% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -8.4% 59% -7.4%
15% -17.3% 59% -16.4%
20% -25.4% 58% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2948 history records