Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:52:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc97a…7bde
world · 88 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$278 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$242 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,115
Realized+$242
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses15 / 32
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions34
Markets (closed)47 / 88
History coverage84d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 34 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 94¢ 96¢ $517 $529 +$11 (+2%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $141 $140 −$1 (-1%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 25¢ 23¢ $110 $101 −$9 (-8%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes 45¢ 81¢ $30 $55 +$24 (+81%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 69¢ 84¢ $40 $48 +$8 (+20%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 42¢ 42¢ $42 $42 +$1 (+2%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 72¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-0%)
Spain snap election called in 2026? No 65¢ 64¢ $33 $33 −$0 (-1%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes 45¢ 24¢ $25 $13 −$12 (-47%)
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-6%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 84¢ 88¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 79¢ 90¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+13%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? Yes 24¢ 22¢ $6 $6 −$1 (-9%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Over 96¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Over 94¢ 93¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 90¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+9%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 77¢ 78¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 70¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $9 +$6 +68%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $18 −$11 -63%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? May 11 $11 +$4 +32%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? May 09 $53 +$2 +4%
Epstein suicide note released by May 31? May 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, Apr 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? Apr 23 $14 −$14 -100%
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Apr 23 $2 $0 +8%
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Apr 21 $627 +$67 +11%
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 20 $18 −$14 -79%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Apr 17 $14 $0 -2%
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? Apr 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? Apr 14 $21 +$4 +20%
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12? Apr 12 $2 −$1 -41%
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? Apr 09 $60 −$31 -51%
US forces enter Iran by December 31? Apr 09 $1,066 +$81 +8%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 09 $144 +$11 +8%
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? Apr 08 $942 +$67 +7%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? Apr 08 $8 +$1 +12%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Apr 08 $17 +$2 +10%
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Apr 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, Apr 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? Apr 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026? Apr 07 $3 −$3 -96%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during Monday news conference? Apr 07 $4 +$1 +39%
Will Trump say "Moon" during Monday news conference? Apr 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Monday news conference? Apr 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Trump say "China" during Monday news conference? Apr 06 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026? Apr 06 $541 +$131 +24%
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, Apr 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? Apr 02 $2 −$2 -72%
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 26, 2026? Apr 02 $5 +$3 +63%
Will another country strike Iran by March 31? Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will UK strike Iran by March 31? Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? Apr 01 $1 −$1 -100%
US forces enter Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $5 −$3 -57%
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $1 −$1 -93%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Mar 30 $22 −$4 -18%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? Mar 29 $6 −$2 -36%
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 27, 2026? Mar 27 $5 $0 +9%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? Mar 26 $8 $0 -3%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Mar 25 $5 −$2 -39%
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? Mar 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 56% +$256
politics 23% +$54
other 19% −$45
sports 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY 68¢ $5 8m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AN BUY 50¢ $6 10m
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND BUY 27¢ $5 12m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND BUY 22¢ $5 13m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 80¢ $4 14m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND BUY 16¢ $5 16m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND W BUY 27¢ $7 18m
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 71¢ $4 19m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 24¢ $5 20m
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 91¢ $50 22m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $4 22m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 23m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 28m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $22 29m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $8 35m
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $7 1h
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 73¢ $37 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 91¢ $91 1h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 71¢ $4 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 94¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $8 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $4 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 96¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $4 1h
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 13h
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 2d
Spain snap election called in 2026? BUY No 52¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-51.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 -12.4% -20.8% 50% 50% -31.2%
≤90d 47 -46.3% -51.4% 32% 19% -3.5%
all 47 -46.3% -51.4% 32% 19% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -51.4% 19% -3.5%
10% -56.0% 13% -12.8%
15% -60.3% 9% -21.2%
20% -64.2% 6% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,114.77 · official $1,152.78 · 612 history records