Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:13:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc95f…727b
crypto · 44 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$606 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$606 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$606
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses13 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage43d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$100
7 days−$100
14 days−$100
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$55 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 14 $41 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 14 $55 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 14 $53 −$20 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 14 $114 −$50 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 14 $32 +$11 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 14 $41 +$27 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 14 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET May 14 $13 +$9 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 14 $50 −$16 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 14 $32 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 14 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 14 $39 +$82 +210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 14 $33 −$24 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 14 $20 +$12 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 14 $45 +$13 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 14 $41 +$54 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 14 $14 +$49 +361%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 14 $23 +$60 +261%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 14 $14 +$8 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 01 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 01 $1 $0 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$606
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 22d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 29d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $20 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $6 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $43 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $12 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $33 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $36 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $32 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $36 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $48 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $31 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $24 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $26 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-37.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 7 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 44 -30.6% -37.2% 30% 30% -46.0%
all 44 -30.6% -37.2% 30% 30% -46.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.2% 30% -46.0%
10% -43.2% 27% -51.2%
15% -48.7% 20% -55.9%
20% -53.8% 18% -60.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 143 history records