trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 26 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 28 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 14 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 25 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 23 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship? | Nov 25 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship? | Oct 28 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 29 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025? | Aug 27 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship? | Jul 21 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| West Ham United wins the Premier League? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 16 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | May 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Manchester United wins the Premier League? | Apr 18 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Leicester City wins the Premier League? | Dec 17 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -25% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 13 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 10 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025? | Dec 02 | $467 | $0 | -0% |