Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc952…9d67
crypto · 143 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$74 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses33 / 110
Open positions0
Markets (closed)143 / 143
History coverage37d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day8.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$89
14 days−$89
30 days−$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-33.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -47.6% -52.6% 20% 18% -44.1%
≤30d 108 -40.7% -46.3% 21% 19% -34.8%
≤90d 143 -26.7% -33.7% 23% 22% -27.0%
all 143 -26.7% -33.7% 23% 22% -27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.7% 22% -27.0%
10% -40.0% 21% -33.9%
15% -45.8% 20% -40.3%
20% -51.1% 17% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 434 history records