Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc94e…43a0
crypto · 858 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$615 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$615 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$615
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses487 / 371
Open positions0
Markets (closed)858 / 858
History coverage15d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day198.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 858 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$157
7 days−$31
14 days−$426
30 days−$615
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$8 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$615
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 157 +1.6% -8.1% 72% 47% -11.6%
≤30d 858 -7.7% -16.5% 57% 42% -15.4%
≤90d 858 -7.7% -16.5% 57% 42% -15.4%
all 858 -7.7% -16.5% 57% 42% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover198.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 42% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 28% -23.5%
15% -31.8% 13% -30.9%
20% -38.5% 8% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records