Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:27:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C9
0xc93f…a95e
other · 13 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$61 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$63 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$105
Realized+$63
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses5 / 5
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions3
Markets (closed)10 / 13
History coverage2d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 3 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$88
7 days+$63
14 days+$63
30 days+$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $41 $41 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $35 $34 −$0 (-1%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 82¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals Yes 10¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 89¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$33 +109%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 +$62 +203%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 +$19 +77%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $17 −$2 -12%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +158%
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $22 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% +$36
sports 39% +$62
crypto 10% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +18.0% +6.8% 50% 50% +17.3%
≤30d 10 +18.0% +6.8% 50% 50% +17.3%
≤90d 10 +18.0% +6.8% 50% 50% +17.3%
all 10 +18.0% +6.8% 50% 50% +17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.8% 50% +17.3%
10% -3.4% 50% +6.0%
15% -12.8% 50% -4.2%
20% -21.3% 40% -13.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $105.38 · official $105.39 (match) · 23 history records